Saturday, September 22, 2012

Week 3 Picks and Predictions

Caveat: These are pure gut feelings for the most part, aided by limited match-up info that I do have by watching whatever games I get a chance to.

Already picked: Giants 28 - Panthers 17 (Result: Giants 33 - Panthers 7)

Remaining picks:

Buccaneers 20 - Cowboys 24: The Cowboys went from beating the world champion New York Giants on opening night to losing to an up-and-coming Seattle team. The defense has some injuries and I can see this game going the Bucs way easily. But I think Rob Ryan gets the most out of his defense and their pass coverage has been solid so far.

Jaguars 17 - Colts 27: Luck and the Colts get their second win against a less talented Jaguars team. After a very solid week 1, Gabbert seemed to regress last week and playing a 3-4 team will provide new challenges.

Bills 21 - Browns 17: Both offenses are much better at running the ball than throwing. Browns are missing some key players on defense, whereas the Bills have been able to replace Fred Jackson with NFL leading rusher C.J. Spiller. In the end, this will be a close one but I give Chan Gailey's offense an edge over Dick Jauron's defense. This is a classic trap game for the Bills.

Jets 24 - Dolphins 10: Tannehill will have his hands full with Rex Ryan's 3-4 defense and Revis is back in the lineup this week guarding whomever you consider to be the Miami #1 receiver. This is an important game for the Jets and I think they play that way.

Chiefs 24 - Saints 38: This has the makings of a shootout as both defenses have struggled so far. I trust Drew Brees and company way more than Matt Cassel and his boys. Both teams are in must-win territory but with all the off-season drama the Saints will have more pressure and thus motivation to win this game.

Bengals 17 - Redskins 21: Redskins are missing Garcon on offense but RGIII is just too hard to stop for the struggling Bengals defense. This could go either way and I think AJ Green finally breaks out, but my gut says Redskins.

Rams 14 - Bears 20: I think this game will be a lot closer than people think. The Rams are for real on defense and the Bears have some major holes on the offensive line. But I think they will ride Michael Bush to a victory leaving the Rams missing Steven Jackson.

49ers 27 - Vikings 14: Ponder is slowing growing confidence but the 49ers are just too good on defense. They will focus on AP and force Ponder to take some chances and will likely get a couple of turnovers by disguising their defensive looks pre-snap. This game might come down to special teams where both teams seem to be evenly matched giving 49ers the overall edge.

Lions 35 - Titans 17: Even though the Titans will get Britt more involved and Nate Washington back, their offensive running game is a complete mess right now and the Lions will take full advantage of that. 

Falcons 30 - Chargers 34: This is another game that has the makings of a shootout. Two quarterbacks who are really feeling it right now and both defenses have been slightly over-achieving. I think the Falcons are for real and the Chargers get their stud Ryan Mathews back. This will be another close one that could go either way, but with the west coast trip I give the edge to the home team.

Eagles 16 - Cardinals 24: In somewhat of an upset, the Cardinals will show they are for real even with a mediocre quarterback at helm. Vick and the offense just make too many mistakes and they'll be without Jeremy Maclin.

Steelers 38 - Raiders 10: I see the Steelers completely demolishing the Raiders in this game who simply don't have the talent or experience to match up with Pittsburgh. Even though this is an east coast team traveling west coast, I'm picking the Steelers in a blowout because Tomlin will have his troops ready.

Texans 24 - Broncos 27: This will end up being the closest game this week. I think Manning corrects his mistakes and squeaks one out at home. Both defenses are very good, although the Broncos defense might not look that good on the stat sheet. This will come down to the last possession.

Patriots 20 - Ravens 28: The Ravens avenge the AFC championship game loss from last year and Joe Flacco and his boys keep the Patriots reeling with their no-huddle up tempo offense. The Pats are in somewhat of a must-win here in this AFC heavy-weight matchup. 

Packers 24 - Seahawks 21: This game will be closer than most people think. Playing in Seattle is a tough task for any team and the Packers look out of sync on offense; plus they'll be without Greg Jennings. But I think they will pull this one out because that's what championship caliber teams do.

Enjoy Week 3 everyone!



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